Sunday Shows Round-Up: The Age Of Experts Is Over

Theresa May gets EU rubber stamp for her Brexit deal - now what.

Theresa May secured agreement from the EU on Sunday for her Brexit deal. And now the hard part begins - convincing MPs to vote for it.

An extended BBC Andrew Marr Show had a bumper list of guests this morning, including Jeremy Hunt, Arlene Foster, Richard Burgon and Tony Blair.

Speaking to Marr, Hunt admitted it would be ā€œchallengingā€ for the prime minister to get her deal through the Commons in December.

And asked whether the government could collapse if the deal falls, he offered an ominous warning. ā€œItā€™s not possible to rule out anything,ā€ he said.

#Brexit: 'This isn't a perfect deal for everyone but it does have a lot of what everyone wants', says Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt #marr https://t.co/X8jaiRqyNR pic.twitter.com/XyMWKPfKhT

ā€” BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 25, 2018

The foreign secretary gave the deal the most lukewarm of endorsements. ā€œThis deal, as it stands, mitigates most of the negative impacts,ā€ he said. ā€œI think we will not be significantly worse off or better off.ā€ Quite the rallying cry.

He added: ā€œThis isnā€™t a perfect deal for everyone but it does have a lot of what everyone wants and the question is whether we can use it to get everything we want and that will be difficult but itā€™s not impossible.ā€

Pro-Brexit Tory MPs are threatening to sink Mayā€™s deal. As is the DUP. Party leader Arlene Foster told Marr she would definitely order her MPs not to support it. And in a further threat, said she would ā€œreviewā€ her partyā€™s confidence and supply agreement with the Tories if the deal passed.

#Brexit: We may review confidence and supply agreement, says DUP leader

Arlene Foster talks to #marr about the Commons vote on the Brexit deal

Read more: https://t.co/5I8XrwUvD3 pic.twitter.com/4VeWMzixsd

ā€” BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 25, 2018

Interestingly, Foster seemed open to a different sort of Brexit deal that kept the entire UK in the EEA. The so-called Norway-style arrangement.

Asked if she would back that, Foster said: ā€œWell, weā€™ve always been very keen to give the government the space to negotiate a deal in terms of Brexit. Thatā€™s the way weā€™ve always operated. But the one thing that we could not have was a difference between us and the rest of the UK in terms of international trade, in terms of customs, in terms of regulations.ā€

Richard Burgon, Labourā€™s Shadow Justice Secretary, channelled his inner Michael Gove.

.@RichardBurgon on #Marr says May is holding the country to ransom telling #Remain voters it is her deal or #NoDeal, and telling #Leave voters it is her deal or no #Brexit. Only @UKLabour's commonsense deal can bring the country together. pic.twitter.com/lIHV9fSA99

ā€” benfolley (@benfolley) November 25, 2018

Told it was ā€œvery unlikelyā€ enough Tory MPs would ever agree to trigger a general election, Burgon hit back at Marr for believing ā€œexpertsā€.

ā€œA lot of things have seemed unlikely in politics recently and lots of the experts have got it wrong. The experts predicted the last EU referendum wrong, the experts said that Trump could never be elected and wish he hadnā€™t have been,ā€ he said.

ā€œThe experts said that Labour would be smashed at the last general election, we
werenā€™t.

ā€œThe experts said Jeremy Corbyn would never be elected as prime minister. I think the age of the experts is over. The age of political certainty is over.ā€

Tony Blair on #Brexit: Literally why are we doing it?

Former PM, who supports a #PeoplesVote, tells #marr the choice is between ā€œpainful and pointlessā€

Read more: https://t.co/Osi5wWf8VK pic.twitter.com/jiuQe8D0kw

ā€” BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 25, 2018

Tony Blair, who is pushing for a second referendum, said a so-called Peopleā€™s Vote was the ā€œonly way you are going to unite the countryā€.

He told BBCā€™s Andrew Marr Show people should choose between the sort of ā€œproper Brexitā€ advocated by Boris Johnson or remaining in the EU.

Blair added he expected Labour to eventually back another vote. Asked if there was a majority in Parliament for his position he said: ā€œNot yet but I think it will get there.ā€

He added: ā€œI think itā€™s moving that way and I would be really surprised if the Labour Party doesnā€™t end up in the position of supporting another vote.

ā€œBecause thereā€™s no other proposition that can get through Parliament.ā€

Over on Sky News, former Conservative Party leader Iain Duncan Smith said it would be ā€œvery, very difficultā€ to support the Prime Ministerā€™s deal arguing ā€œfar too much has been given to the EUā€.

He told Sophy Ridge on Sunday: ā€œWell I donā€™t want to stay in the EU. I campaigned and voted to leave the EU. I donā€™t believe that, so far, this deal delivers on what the British people really voted for, take back control of your borders, your laws, your money. I think it has ceded too much control.ā€

Ridge also exposed another problem for May - the diminishing number of Labour MPs who look likely to back her.

Lisa Nandy MP tells @SophyRidgeSky it's "inconceivable" that she will vote for the PM's #Brexit deal - saying it's "too big a gamble to take" with the futures of her constituents #Ridge

šŸ”“ Get live updates from the EU summit: https://t.co/7H6rGWyTEf pic.twitter.com/29IhYzWWfi

ā€” Ridge on Sunday (@RidgeOnSunday) November 25, 2018

Lisa Nandy, who had hinted she could be persuaded to back the deal to avoid a no deal exit, ruled out voting with the prime minister.

Asked if she would be supporting the deal, she said: ā€œWell Iā€™d hoped that it would be, but in all honesty no itā€™s not and itā€™s inconceivable now that when this comes before Parliament in just a few days time that Iā€™ll be voting for it. I wonā€™t be voting to support the Withdrawal Agreement.ā€

She added: ā€œThere is a real prospect now of no deal because many of those Leave voters, contrary to the opinion in Westminster, actually dislike this deal more than the Remain voters who contact me on a regular basis.ā€

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