Energy Bills Are Set To Rise In October, This Is What To Expect Next

Here's everything we know about the energy price cap.
Svetlana Repnitskaya via Getty Images

Energy bills are set to rise by another £800 per year in October, according to Ofgem, the UK’s energy regulator.

The energy price cap is likely to increase to £2,800 a year due to the ongoing volatility in gas prices, the company’s boss Jonathan Brearley said. He added that the number of people in fuel poverty may double to 12 million. If a household has spent 10% or more of its disposable income on energy, they’re considered to be in fuel poverty.

However, the energy price cap could soon be examined every three months under plans announced by the industry regulator earlier this month.

Ofgem disclosed that it was putting the idea out to consultation after criticism that the current twice-yearly adjustment arrangement – in April and October – led to the failure of suppliers last year at the peak of wholesale gas prices.

The proposed three-monthly change “would mean the price cap is more reflective of current market prices and any price falls would be delivered more quickly to consumers,” Brearley said.

Sadly, if this ideas comes in, it’s unlikely to be until 2023, meaning bill payers will not be able to avoid the October hike.

What is a price cap?

The energy price cap is the mechanism that controls the gas and electricity bills for 22 million households. It’s the maximum amount that companies can charge consumers per unit of energy.

The price cap is credited with preventing families from the worst of the Covid-linked rises in raw energy prices, by preventing companies from passing on unparalleled increases to their customers.

However, Ofgem increased the price cap in April, meaning households saw average bills rising by 54% or £693 annually, with energy bills now costing a yearly average of £1,971 per household.

Why are energy prices rising?

There are various reasons why energy prices are increasing. The pandemic has played a large role in this. The price of gas has risen globally. This is due to global energy consumption decreasing dramatically during the pandemic as businesses shut down and traffic virtually disappeared. But since the bounce back and as things began opening up, the demand for energy has soared exponentially.

Increased demand from China as well – which saw a sticky hot summer, amping up the need for air conditioners – also affected the situation.

While other countries are also experiencing similar problems, the UK is hard hit as it is one of the biggest users of natural gas – 85% of British homes have gas central heating.

Why might a price cap review be introduced?

Currently, the price cap is only reviewed twice a year (in April and October). However, the proposed plan would make this more frequent.

Changing the price cap more often will make it more reflective of international gas prices, taking some pressure off suppliers, Ofgem said.

Ofgem said it’s plan would encourage great agility: allowing bills to rise or decline faster. But its chief executive admitted during an interview with Sky News that the next movement would be upward.

“A more frequent price cap would reflect the most up to date and accurate energy prices and mean when prices fall from the current record highs, customers would see the benefit much sooner,” the regulator said in a statement.

Ofgem chief executive Jonathan Brearley added: “Our top priority is to protect consumers by ensuring a fair and resilient energy market that works for everyone.”

When will this be introduced?

Households are likely to see their bills rise in October, but the three-month review system is expected to be implemented in January 2023.

“Remember that the total cost you pay over the year would be absolutely the same, because that reflects only the cost of the energy that we buy,” Brearley told Sky News.

“Yes, the price would go up more quickly as prices go up, but equally importantly as those prices come down, then the price cap comes back down again.”

What to do if you’re struggling with bills

The price cap can help, but many people now are struggling to pay their bills. If this is you, Citizen advice’s can help.

You can go to their website and get advice on:

You can call them for free:

  • Citizens Advice consumer helpline: 0808 223 1133
  • Citizens Advice consumer helpline (Welsh-speaking adviser): 0808 223 1144
  • Relay UK - if you can’t hear or speak on the phone, you can type what you want to say: 18001 then 0808 223 113
  • You can use Relay UK with an app or a textphone. There’s no extra charge to use it. Find out how to use Relay UK on the Relay UK website.
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